Specifically, the Court will decide the question:
Whether under Article II, Section 8 of the California Constitution, or otherwise under California law, the official proponents of an initiative measure possess either a particularized interest in the initiative's validity or the authority to assert the State's interest in the initiative's validity, which would enable them to defend the constitutionality of the initiative upon its adoption or appeal a judgment invalidating the initiative, when the public officials charged with that duty refuse to do so.If the State Supreme Court rules they DO NOT have standing, the 9th Circuit panel may dismiss the lawsuit immediately as moot, which would lead to marriage equality being legal in California again. If the State Supreme Court rules that they DO have standing (a more likely result) then the 9th Circuit will have to decide the case, which they could do on the merits of the claim that Proposition 8 violates a federal constitutional right to marry. That decision could be appealed to the US Supreme Court and would have national implications.
According to Chris Geidner, the State High Court issued a relatively brisk briefing schedule:
The opening brief on the merits is to be served and filed on or before Monday, March 14, 2011. The answer brief on the merits is to be served and filed on or before Monday, April 4. A reply brief may be served and filed on or before Monday, April 18.Oral arguments are scheduled for "as early as September 2011" and this is significant because the Court must issue a written ruling within 90 days of an oral argument or else it does not get paid, which would probably mean the 9th Circuit would be getting Perry v. Schwarzenegger back in early 2012. So, basically a year has been added to the time in which marriage equality could be decided by a court ruling in California.
